For this step, you will explore the climate change scenarios, impact, and risks for your heritage site. Scenarios could include forest fires, drought, flooding, increased snowfall, rising sea levels, and increasing stronger winds. Impacts for flooding, for example, could include water damage, mudslides, debris build-up, and foundation instability and erosion. Conversely, drought can increase the likelihood of pests and other animal intrusions, which can harm heritage buildings and artefact collections.
We have provided a risk assessment matrix to assist you in determining the likelihood and consequences of each impact, which will help you to prioritize which vulnerabilities should be addressed first.
Introduction: Climate Adaptation – Framework and Implementation
Step 1: Building a Strong Foundation
Step 2: Assess Vulnerability and Risk
Steps 4 and 5: Implement Adaptation Actions, Monitor and Evaluate
Climate Adaptation Worksheet – download
Discuss historical climate change trends and future climate change projections for the region.
Develop plausible future scenarios from the trends and projections.
Identify climate change impacts for each scenario.
Assess risk by determining the likelihood and consequences for each impact.
Which vulnerabilities do you prioritize?
Step 2: Charting Vulnerabilities and Risks
We have prepared three simple-to-use charts to help you capture information and visualize what you need to do.
Start with the first tab to capture information from your research and record your thoughts and experiences. Share the chart with others so that you can fully describe the situations.
The second tab will help you to explore the situations more fully. Here, you will record trends, mitigations, assignments, and priorities.
On the third tab, you will complete the risk matrix based on the information you captured on the second tab. This chart will help you to visualize your most urgent risks and, most likely, your first priorities.